Recent Bar Pass Rates - A Cautionary Tale

A number of states have released bar results from the July 2018 examination over the last several weeks, including New York, Texas and Florida.  Overall, performance on the bar was very poor, although there have been a few bright spots.  The national average on the MBE was down 2.2 points to 139.5, a 34 year low.   To those who have followed law school admission trends closely, this should not have come as a surprise. The 2014 and 2015 entering law school classes were arguably the weakest ever in terms of entrance credentials, and these cohorts (part-time students who started in 2014 and full-time students who started in 2015) made up the majority of the first-time test takers in July.  There were also a lot of repeat takers from 2017 and February 2018 who also had very low credentials.

The purpose of this post is to remind everyone, especially law school faculty and administrators at lower tier schools, of the perils of admitting very high risk (LSAT of 145-146) and extremely high risk (144 and below) students.  As law schools start to experience an uptick in applications, the focus, especially at low-performing schools, should be on raising the quality of admitted students, not growing the class.  A few examples should suffice to demonstrate this point.

Touro Law School – Touro had 105 first time takers on the New York July bar; 51 passed. That’s a 48.6% pass rate.  Touro’s 2015 entering class was terrible:  149/147/145 LSATs with GPA at 3.31/3.03/2.77.   

Texas Southern - 69 of 155 Texas Southern graduates passed the July 18 Texas bar for a 44.5% rate. In February, TSU had 5 of 18 first time takers pass, for a 27.88% rate.  Overall 74 of 173 TSU grads passed for a 42.8% first-time pass rate in Texas for 2018.  TSU’s 2015 entering class had an atrocious LSAT GPA profile of 146/143/141 3.44/3.11/2.80. Texas Southern was sanctioned by the ABA for its admissions practices in June 2017, and this is why.  Texas Southern was admitting large numbers of extremely high risk students and the bar pass statistics reflect this.  Texas Southern has not yet released the class profile for the 2018 entering class but it has promised the ABA to significantly raise its admission standards.

UNT Dallas - UNT had 10 of 25 of its students pass the February 18 Texas bar (40%), followed by 52 of 85 on the July bar – 61.18%. The combined pass rate for 2018: 62 of 107, was an uninspiring 58%.  According to fact sheets published by UNT Dallas, the LSAT profile for the 2015 entering class was 149/146/143 3.40/3.11/2.67 for the full-time division and 150/145/142  3.36/3.03/2.64 for the part-time division.  This was even lower than the woeful credentials of their inaugural entering class in 2014. After nearly not getting provisional approval from the ABA in part because of valid concerns over admitted student credentials, UNT-Dallas has significantly tightened admissions standards. Their admitted student profile for the Fall 2018 class is 153/150/148 with a 3.32/3.08/2.68.  Expect UNT Dallas to see a steady rise in bar passage rates over the next three years.

Barry Law School and Florida A&M Law School – July 2018 results at Barry: 55/121 (45.5%) In February 2018, Barry had 16 of 39 first-time takers pass for a 41.0% rate. Overall for the year, Barry is at 71/160 (44.4%) in Florida.  Similarly, Florida A&M was 11 for 30 ( 36.7%) on the Feb 18 Bar, and 39/77 (50.6%) on the July Bar, for a 2018 total of 50/107 (46.7%) in Florida.  Barry and FAMU had very similarly weak entering classes in 2015: 150/146/144  3/29/296/2.64 for Barry and 149/146/144  3.29/3.00/2.72 for FAMU. 

These five examples demonstrate (once again) that when law schools admit high percentages of very high and extremely high risk students, these classes are virtually certain to have very low bar passage rates.  Put another way, no law school has figured out a magic formula to take students with very limited aptitude for the study of law, as demonstrated by their LSAT scores and college grades, and turn them into bar passers.   All the law schools that have closed in the last couple of years (or are in the process of or in peril of closing), including Whittier, Indiana Tech, Charlotte, Arizona Summit, Valparaiso and Thomas Jefferson, amply demonstrate this point.  Although the overall decline in demand for legal education played some role in the downfall of these schools, it was their decision to lower admission standards to an unethically low level that started the vicious cycle of dropping bar pass rates, declining reputation, decreasing applications and increasing transfers that ultimately doomed them.

Comments

[Anonymous Professor]

Make sure you also mention the law schools that consistently punch above their weight on the bar: UMass (92% bar pass in MA) and FIU. If a school admits lower-credentialed applicants, they must also commit to robust, comprehensive academic support, and robust, comprehensive bar prep, AND have faculty on board with with both. Podium faculty who believe bar pass "isn't their thing" aren't going to help students pass the bar. Bar passage needs to be a school-wide endeavor.

[The Law Offcies of Kavanaugh Thomas, LLC, PC, LTD, Chartered, AV Rated]

Yesterday, another lawyer undercut me on a $250 fee for a traffic ticket. He would do it for $195. Try paying a mortgage, car note, light bill, saving for retirement and paying a $200K student loan. Once most folks pass the Bar, they are in for a rude awakening.