The avalanche
of commentary on the life of Senator Kennedy has mostly concentrated on his
commitments to and successes in legislating around issues of social
justice. His central role in the
advancement of the deregulation movement has received far less note. This role was something Kennedy himself
deeply embraced, commenting on it in his famous 1980 “The Dream Shall Never
Die” speech.
The connection
of Senator Kennedy to deregulation is a story of ideas, expertise and
elites. Ideas count. Those of us who were studying economics in the
late 1960s and early 1970s were profoundly affected by the work of luminaries such
as George Stigler (Chicago) and Alfred E. Kahn (Cornell). The message was “markets work.” We were persuaded by Stigler and Kahn that price
and entry regulation of structurally competitive markets was a particularly
stupid form of governmental regulation. If
we did not get the message through university economics departments then we
were infected in law schools by the teaching of Don Turner (Harvard), Don Baker
(Cornell), Stephen Breyer (Harvard) and Richard Posner (Chicago).
But if ideas
and expertise are to be translated into implemented public policy, elites and
politics become highly relevant. For
economic deregulation, Kennedy was crucial in making the links among ideas,
expertise, elites, and successful politics.
This resulted in the deregulation of airlines and trucking. The best economic evidence is that these
actions have resulted in billions of dollars of benefit to the American public.
Kennedy made
deregulation of transportation, in particular the deregulation of airlines and
trucking, a central part of his political agenda in the late 1970s. He brought to government the expertise that
was crucial. Key players on the Kennedy
senatorial team working on deregulation included Breyer and David Boies. The combination of political will, ideas and
expertise was an awesome sight to behold.
Kennedy was
also able to make alliances with likeminded political appointees in the
executive branch. He worked closely with
the Justice Department Antitrust Division in pushing deregulation. He had strong allies in two assistant
attorneys general for Antitrust, first Don Baker (who had been appointed by
Gerald Ford but carried over briefly into the Carter Administration) and then
John Shenefield, for whom I worked. Kennedy
strongly cultivated these relationships.
Both Baker
and Shenefield devoted considerable staff resources to the legislative battles
and to advocating to the White House the need to support reform. Baker brought to the battle his academic
expertise as a Cornell Law professor.
Shenefield was a practicing lawyer who had cut his teeth working with
Lewis Powell as a regulated industries lawyer in Virginia. Shenefield came to Justice after serving as a
key political advisor to the Carter presidential campaign. His academic training at Harvard College and
Harvard Law School, his connections to the Washington political elite, and his considerable
talent as a trial lawyer enabled him to effectively achieve collaboration between
the executive branch and Senator Kennedy.
If this story
were a movie, the what happened next is also extremely interesting. The rhetoric of deregulation was used
powerfully in a number of other areas, in ways that I am sure deeply troubled
Kennedy and almost certainly contribued to the current economic crisis. The people moved on—Breyer became a Supreme
Court Justice, Shenefield became chair of one of America’s most important law
firms (Morgan Lewis), and David Boies became one of the leading lawyers of his
generation. As a side note on the
connectedness of elites, Boies now chairs his own law firm, Boies, Schiller and
Flexner. The Flexner is Don Flexner, who
served as the key deregulation staffer to Baker and Shenefield at Justice.
I seem to recall even Dick Posner acknowleding that deregulation of airlines has been a disaster, and is closely related to the poor quality of domestic air travel with which we're all familiar now in the U.S. Am I missing something?
Posted by: Brian | August 27, 2009 at 02:07 PM
You certainly in my view are very much missing the big picture. Here is a balanced story of what happened. http://www.centennialofflight.gov/essay/Commercial_Aviation/Dereg/Tran8.htm
Nothing unexpected..short term dislocations, long term huge gains. I don't believe Posner disagrees..r
Posted by: Roger Dennis | August 27, 2009 at 02:32 PM
Does Judge Posner ever fly Coach?
Kidding aside, I'm not sure that essay supports the assertion of "long term huge gains." It does credit deregulation with reducing average fares by one-third between 1977 and 1992, and with an aggregate savings of $100 billion in ticket prices (not clear whether that's over the same time period). That seems very significant; but have those savings continued in the past 17 years?
Against the reduction in fares, it would be appropriate to offset the cost to consumers in reduced standards of service -- greater delays, longer travel time because of the increasing number of trips requiring one or more changes, and (very hard to quantify) a marked decline in the physical comfort of passenger aircraft (at just over 6'1" and not unusually fat for an American, I can barely squeeze myself into a typical Coach seat).
I suspect that someone has crunched these numbers in greater detail. This isn't at all my area of expertise, and I'm entirely prepared to believe that the benefits of deregulation to airline passengers have indeed been substantial. But I'd want to see a fuller picture before drawing any conclusions.
Posted by: Eric Fink | August 27, 2009 at 04:24 PM
Eric--there is a huge literature on the topic, but your service complaints are not fully captured by the defenders of airline deregulation who primarily look to price and productivity measures..this is a typical debate across "cultures"
You might want to look at:
http://www.econlib.org/library/Enc/AirlineDeregulation.html
Posted by: Roger Dennis | August 27, 2009 at 05:09 PM