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July 30, 2009


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Mike Dimino

I have no idea if she'll end up winning, but I don't think the Sotomayor vote will cost her much politically. Remember that she first has to win the Republican nomination. There are proportionally fewer Hispanics among Texas Republican primary voters than in the state as a whole, and Republicans generally won't be too turned off by a "no" vote on Sotomayor. If she wins the primary, then the Republican advantage in the state will probably be enough to overcome any negative views Hispanic voters (who are likely to vote Democratic anyway) may have because of the confirmation vote.

Tim Zinnecker

Related story here:

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