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February 27, 2008


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Calvin Massey

Because the Texas Democratic primary is open to voters of any party, and because John McCain is the virtually certain Republican nominee, there will be lots of independents and Republicans who will vote in the Democratic primary. Some of those folks may do so to register an affirmative vote for Obama or (less likely) for Clinton, but many will vote for Obama to kill the Clinton candidacy or vote for Clinton either to prolong the Democratic bloodletting or in the belief that Hillary is easier to beat in November. So, I think it's dangerous to assume that Texas might be tilting Democratic in November because the total Democratic vote next Tuesday will exceed the Republican vote total.

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